Solar storms are a natural part of the sun’s activity, yet their impact on Earth can be anything but ordinary. From minor disturbances in satellite communications to potential blackouts in power grids, these geomagnetic events have far-reaching consequences. But the question on everyone’s mind is: when is the next solar storm?
A solar storm occurs when the sun releases bursts of energy in the form of solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). These high-energy particles travel through space and can interact with Earth’s magnetic field, creating geomagnetic storms. The severity of these storms depends on factors like the speed and intensity of the solar eruption and the orientation of its magnetic field.
Are we ready for the next big solar storm? Read more here.
The sun goes through an approximately 11-year cycle of activity, with periods of high and low solar activity. Currently, we are in Solar Cycle 25, which is expected to peak between 2024 and 2025. This means an increased likelihood of solar storms during this period. While minor solar storms occur regularly, larger and more disruptive events are less frequent but still pose significant risks.
While predicting the exact timing of a solar storm is challenging, scientists monitor solar activity closely using satellites like NASA’s Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) and NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center. Forecasts indicate that heightened solar activity in the coming months could lead to more geomagnetic disturbances. However, pinpointing exactly when the next solar storm will occur remains uncertain until signs of solar eruptions appear.
The impact of a strong solar storm can range from GPS and radio signal disruptions to severe damage to electrical grids. A major event, like the Carrington Event of 1859, could have catastrophic consequences today, affecting power supplies, financial systems, and emergency response services. This is why organizations, governments, and industries must prioritize preparedness.
The question “When is the next solar storm?” may not have a precise answer, but what we do know is that solar storms are inevitable. The best approach is to stay informed and ensure that critical infrastructure is prepared to withstand the effects of these natural phenomena.
That’s why innovative solutions like GINOM (Global Infrastructure Network Optimization Model) are essential for resilience planning. GINOM provides advanced modeling and analysis to help governments, utilities, and industries strengthen their preparedness against extreme hazards like solar storms. By leveraging cutting-edge data and predictive tools, GINOM enables proactive decision-making, ensuring that infrastructure remains operational and secure in the face of emerging threats.
To learn more about how GINOM can support infrastructure resilience, visit the GINOM page.
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